[calumniate]

I'm sorry but these 'advanced stats' so far are truly for the birds. Not sure about disclosure here but have had a good evening..

If you're really talking advanced stats these days in the real world, you're looking at big data types such as google, and the tried and true insurance market. Insurance knows stats and it's their business to take on risk. They hire actuarial mathematicians to help them out, which would probably make Tinordi 'I attended and paid attention to university' look like a plug. (who's to say, maybe he's genius!)

I'm no complete math guru but have some knowledge of risk analysis, and that's the area where I see advanced stats having the most benefit at least in the short term. The idea is to basically to trust your decision makers and managers to make decisions, but inform them of their current position and possible outcomes.

To make things easy, our injuries but subsequent depth at the forward position got us out of a bind. But when gio came within a hair of having an eye injury it caused concern. Our risk in the D position is much higher than at forward right now. What do you do? Get those visors and Kevlar on those D asap! Upgrade the D in the farm to mitigate risk.

Some cap teams run very 'risky', the flames did at one point and that's fine. Just like LA right now, they lose a D due to unforeseen circumstances AND counts against the cap? What honestly were the chances? But it's these what if scenarios that can be factored in. That said it's a cruel, generalizing realm. Big data and insurance type coefficients are only getting better. PDo, goal diff and corsi have always been readily available. But I think it's the underlying risk of simply playing the game that's been overlooked.

Kudos to Bob Hartley for stressing speed, hunger and visors lol. Speed maybe not but the farm is hungry and ready, make sure your stars are protected as best as possible, then just go for it and play the game.

It's possibly why they've stressed character recently as well. Hedge against flight risk, doing dumb stuff, causing distractions etc