Quote:
Originally Posted by Resolute 14
I think you are both right, actually.
As the sample gets larger, PDO almost always continues to regress to 1.
However, I would agree that it is fair to say PDO itself is not predictive. Certainly in the arguments I made in response to _Q_'s posts, my belief that certain teams will see a rise or drop in PDO is based off other stats - primarily Corsi and Fenwick, zone starts/finishes, faceoff locations. Basically, where the puck seems to spend much of its time. Those are the ones that are predicting a change in success.
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I disagree a little bit. A high PDO (subjective and contextual) is reasonably predictive of some future events, particularly goal differential