Quote:
Originally Posted by Resolute 14
A drop in PDO (relative to other teams) will affect Calgary and Pittsburgh and anyone else. But when you look at the roster of the two teams, which do you think is more likely to regress
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Sorry to cherry pick, and I can see some useful points in your argument, but see this is what bugs me about these advanced stats.
You're essentially saying Pittsburgh's PDO will drop, but they'll weather the storm better than Calgary because they're a better team. How is it then that PDO, if looking at it as a purely predictive tool as some writers use it telling us anything?
"LA has a low PDO, but that will improve because they're a good team."
"Buffalo is a horrible team, their PDO clearly shows that. "
" Calgary has a high PDO, but don't be fooled, they're not that great of a team and they'll come back down to earth."
Really, is any of this saying anything we don't know? That good team will improve in the standings and bad teams will drop? Do we need an advanced stat to tell us that?
I'd also argue with you that Pittsburgh is a bad team being propped up by two generational talents and that Calgary is a much better built team. But that is for regular old fashioned hockey analysis and observation, it has no room in this thread.