Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic
The fact of the matter is that PDO is useful under certain conditions, but useful nonetheless. It has proven to be a relatively good—if imperfect—predictor of what might happen at the end of the season. By this qualification, would you not agree that this is actually a fairly well grounded method for making general predictions? Or at minimum, for showing areas in which some teams will need to improve in order to either begin to achieve or to maintain success?
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But see the thing about PDO is that it really isn't predictive as some writers claim. There's nothing "unsustainable" about the 1.027 PDO the Flames currently have. It's been done before by other teams, there's no reason the Flames can't sustain that number.
All these advanced stats arguments always boil down to at the end of the day is "the Flames numbers are at the top of the league and are in the same boat as the best teams from last year. The Flames are obviously not one of the best terms in the NHL so those numbers will regress. " but seriously though, does that really say anything predictive? Or are these writers claiming the Flames aren't very good and using stats to write a certain narrative? Why is it that the Flames can't maintain their current clip?