Quote:
Originally Posted by Five-hole
But why?
Why isn't it the case that maybe our PDO will regress to the mean rather than our winning percentage?
Only because we're the Flames, and everyone expects us to regress towards the mean because our #1 center is 20 years old and we've been irrelevant for 5-6 years now. The analysis is backward. We're proving a narrative with statistics, not creating one.
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If your PDO regresses it means a higher percentage of shots against are going in your net and/or fewer of your shots are going in. Last time I checked, goals for and against strongly correlate with winning percentage.
Mirtle has no bias here. He wrote these same things about other teams