Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
The sample size is large enough. War-on-ice.com has over 10 years of data. I would suggest going to that site and looking at different stats and comparing them to what happened. You can even make larger than one year sample sizes. You can then see for yourself if the stat matched what happened. We can't measure future because it hasn't happened.
One very important thing that has only barely been looked at statistically, is advanced stats and playoff success. So far, the only work I've seen was from fivethirtyeight.com showing that playoff success was most strongly correlated with goalie save %. The kicker? Save % for a goalie is only very rarely repeatable suggesting a hot goalie is the most important thing yet almost impossible to predict or procure.
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I guess I am asking if anyone has analyzed the predictive power of advanced stats relative to team performance. I am not capable of doing that empirical analysis myself but I would be capable of digesting the results if anyone knows if this has been looked at. Have advanced stats themselves been statistically tested?