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Old 11-17-2014, 10:38 AM   #108
_Q_
#1 Goaltender
 
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
Actually interesting to look into the last season's final third coupled with this year's first quarter

That's 51 games and a record of 30-19-2 for a win percentage of .608, this year they are 11-6-2 for a win percentage of .631

The PDO stats are the discussed 1.028 for this year, but if you take the 51 games together for a larger sample size its 1.019, so they've actually been carrying a pretty lofty PDO for 51/82nds or 2/3 of a hockey season.

The Flames have only been out shot in 24 of those 51 games.
So what you're saying then is the crash will be extra rough when it happens because the Flames have been playing above their head for 2/3rd of a season now.

Get ready boys and girls, the regression to the mean is gonna hurt and it's gonna hurt real bad. The advanced stats have spoken.
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