Quote:
Originally Posted by calumniate
The advanced stats just aren't advanced enough (at least in the article).
One measure I generally find telling is overall goal differential. A team ranked high with a low goal differential is always the one I'll pick to come back to earth at some point.
We're a +9, Chicago is below us in the standings with a +15, Vancouver above with only a +1. Therefore I predict these two teams to flip. Pretty advanced eh! Haha
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And most likely accurate. Goal differential is the best predictive stat.
However, in a statistically small sample size, an unusually shooting percentage combined with very high save percentage will skew this.
That said, it's already been pointed out the Flames haven't relied on unstable PDO in the last few weeks. As sample size increases, those numbers will regress more to the norm. Which doesn't mean the wins stop coming. But they will without the other underlying numbers continuing to improve, as they have been.