Quote:
Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist
Not many flames fans think we're a "two points out of first in the NHL" team. Everyone expects regression. What is typically infuriating though, is a blindness to what's happening in all those other hot-start teams. Calgary is doomed to fail, because stats. "But man Tampa is so talented because the guys on the team are ones I've seen before", even though the same argument (albeit to a lesser extent) is valid. Weak possession and high PDO.
While we're on the subject of PDO, why is it a measure of luck? I'm sure it's been written about, no? PDO is simply a sum of day pct and shooting pct. Are those not both heavily influenced by talent? If you look at PDO from highest to lowest at the end of the season, it's almost a perfect mirror of the actual standings. So are the standings based on luck?????
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PDO is a weird stat. Its more just something that tends to work versus making much sense in math. Why are you multiplying shooting percentage by 100? Why not 95? Why not 500? In a true 'advanced' stat you'd actual work out the weights and prove why you are using them.
PDO is just another way of saying if you're getting outshot and still winning, you are getting lucky like all the more common 'advanced' stats out there. They are just different formulas saying the same thing.