[EldrickOnIce]

Originally Posted by Textcritic

^
He's not wrong. The Flames almost certainly will not end the season scoring an average of +3 goals/game, and with a +.930 even strength save percentage.

Having said that, we are already starting to see a regression towards the statistical mean that he is describing, and yet the game results are the same. For example, in the Flames first 10 games they allowed +30 shots against six times—with the other team hitting +40 in four of these. In their last ten, it has happened four times, with a single game high of 34. Similarly, in their first ten they recorded +30 shots on goal only once, but have managed the feat four times in their past ten. In their last ten games they have been outshot by their opponent six times, and by only +4 shots in four of them.

The way I see it, he team is playing demonstrably better in recent games, and enough so to suggest that they do not need to sustain unsustainable metrics in order to succeed.

^Thanks. This.