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Originally Posted by J epworth kendal
He's still very strong in Alberta, right now Cons would probably still get almost every seat in Alberta. What's surprising is how split BC is right now. October polls show pretty even split across NDP, Lib and Conservative, could probably end up having a bunch of Conservative seats there as well from vote splitting:
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I thought I would comment on this as any evidence of a sweep. This includes all of the ridings that they will win with like 75% of the vote without even trying. It skews that support into ridings where it will be tight and they could lose. It's basically about concentration of the vote, and ridings like Linda Duncan, Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation and such aren't going to show as a factor in the province as a whole. The thing is though, it's not a single election. Election day is essentially 308 separate elections all at once. That's why these numbers are mostly meaningless.