Quote:
Originally Posted by Loyal and True
Thanks, and sample size is definitely a factor in all this. We'll see how this measures over more games. I checked out fenwick-stats.com (and the linked Broad Street Hockey Article that I recall reading a while ago) and that looks interesting to me.
Can you tell me how you translate these % into points?
That 47.34% stems alot from 63 minutes of icetime where we were down by 2+ and EVF% was a pitiful 40.51% which is way way below average. A couple of bad periods. I realize it helps to boost the sample size but I think the % ends up skewed too much.
375 minutes (almost 2 periods per game) are either Down 1, Tied or Up 1. And in those 375 minutes the flames are 49.68% which is very respectable and at that level you can expect good goaltending to earn some points.
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Again though, we can pick it the bad parts and say that's not how we play. A young team is going to have stretches like the first 5 games. They're going to have stretches where they're going to be down 2+ and not playing well.
In the end, the sum of the whole is far more likely the predictor of the future. If I was a betting man and someone showed me how well Edmonton plays except for the times they played terrible, I still wouldn't very on them.