Quote:
Originally Posted by Vulcan
I believe you're fear mongering. As far as I know Isis hasn't made any attempt to move into Turkey or Egypt. Yeah they talk big but that's just to suck us in.
|
ISIS is right on the Turkish border. Do I think they will be able to successfully invade Turkey? No. However, if we were in the shoes of the Turks, I would expect other NATO members to back us up.
I think without any kind of Western intervention, Turkey would have been, at the very least, attacked. That would create an obligation for NATO members to intervene. As far as optics go, it makes more sense for nations to be seen to be sticking up for a NATO ally than to only respond once they are forced to.
As for Egypt, Sunni militant activity has been escalating:
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-29771099
I don't think it's overly far fetched that ISIS could like up with these groups in Egypt.
The overall strategy at this point seems to be one of containment: using air strikes to bolster already existing front lines being held up by local groups. The conflict spreading into neighbouring countries is most certainly on the minds of the people making the decisions to send in troops.