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Old 10-22-2014, 09:47 AM   #251
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tinordi View Post
Yeah looking at the possession data and it's pretty clear that the tide is coming in.

Flames are 3rd last in 5 on 5 shots for so far this season and 7th last in 5 on 5 shots against.

We are second last in Corsi for behind Buffalo.

High save percentages are carrying the team through games while Hiller has faced the 4th most shots per game on average of any goalie. Unsustainable.
6 of 7 games were on the road. The team was hard hit by the flu.

Unsustainable? Absolutely. But that can be changed just as easily by having the ice tilted more normally. The argument:

P: team being out-shot heavily (bad possession numbers)

P: bad possession numbers correlates to losing more

C: therefore team will start losing more

is a classic case of trying to make an argument from correlation numbers

far more likely, IMO, that the possession numbers start to normalize.

How about we see how things go on the 5 game homestand and then we'll have a larger (and more fair) sample size.

If the possession numbers remain skewed, well then we can probably start to expect the imminent demise of the team
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