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Originally Posted by killer_carlson
http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2...tum_hbert.html
Good article by Chantal Hebert who documents a moving trend of "Anyone But Harper' amongst voters. The support Trudeau lost in his bungling of the ISIS matter went to the NDP and Greens, and not the Conservatives.
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Yeah, and the voting is probably going to be strategic enough to avoid vote-splitting. In a Conservative/Liberal swing riding, anti-harper voters are probably going to stick with Trudeau, and vice versa in a NDP/Conservative swing riding (if there are any of the latter... maybe in BC?).
This is huge:
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In the Ekos poll, Harper’s party was the second choice of less than 10 per cent of the supporters of the other parties.
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If that's in any way accurate, that means the Conservatives' ceiling, even if they convert absolutely all of those 'second choice' votes, is somewhere in the mid-30s.