Quote:
Originally Posted by You Need a Thneed
Scoring on 2nd down would have been great. The Stamps scoring on first down gives the Riders the best chance of winning though, leaving the most important thing to them at that point - time. There were 32 seconds on the clock that they had to play with - certainly not impossible. A 10 yard FG is about a 99% likelihood of being good, especially when even a miss (single point almost certain) will win the game for the Stamps. Even if it's blocked, anything but it returned all the way gives the Stamps a 50% chance to win in
OT.
The chances of Sask marching down to score a TD to tie in the last 32 seconds is probably above 10%.
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I wont disagree that they should've considered taking a knee on the 1st down and then trying to score on the 2nd.
But to burn both a 1st and 2nd down to run down the clock and then going for a FG that close is more risky.
A 10 yard FG attempt on one try is much riskier than a 1 yard TD attempt on three tries. I dont know how much more clearly that can be said
not to mention you're getting a major scoring which means inorder for a team to tie you, they have to score a major as well just to tie you. Just leading by 1 or 3 points would just give the opportunity for the other team to beat you with a TD. Even if you're giving them less time, you're still giving them an opportunity for a lucky run to win the game rather than letting them just tie it.
and why do you think being at 10 yards is a 99% success rate? being that close is actually harder to score a FG as it's a more challenging trajectory to kick than if you were 20 or 30 yards out