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Old 10-04-2014, 12:08 AM   #343
You Need a Thneed
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Originally Posted by OzSome View Post
Maybe it was the confidence that made them try to score right away. Maybe another reason was with Paredes missing the FG on 3 occassions (not a 100% fault of his), they think scoring a TD is a way to win the game.
The highest likelihood of winning might be take one kneel to run 20 seconds off the clock, attempt to plunge in on second down, and if that gets stuffed, attempt the FG on third down on the last play.

Either way, it's a 99%+ chance of winning.

Plunging in on first down probably down the stamps likelihood of winning to "only" 95% or so. And we can see why, the riders advanced to a point where they didn't even need a true last play Hail Mary.
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