Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community - View Single Post - New poll: Harper - Conservatives headed for third place next election?

octothorp · 10-03-2014, 11:09 AM

I missed it when it came out a couple days ago, but the most recent Angus Reid poll had the Liberals up 36 to 30. While this is one of the closer polls in the last couple months, it's significant because the last AR poll back in June had the Conservatives up 31 to 30, and they traditionally poll more conservative. So now, every pollster that publishes regularly has a significant lead for the Liberals. (Angus Reid: 6 point Liberal lead; Ipsos Reid: 7; EKOS: 13; Abacus: 8; Forum: 9). The EKOS looks like an of an outlier, but still, it's the most unanimous the polls have been since 2011, I think.

10-03-2014, 11:09 AM	#268
octothorp Franchise Player Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: not lurking Exp:	I missed it when it came out a couple days ago, but the most recent Angus Reid poll had the Liberals up 36 to 30. While this is one of the closer polls in the last couple months, it's significant because the last AR poll back in June had the Conservatives up 31 to 30, and they traditionally poll more conservative. So now, every pollster that publishes regularly has a significant lead for the Liberals. (Angus Reid: 6 point Liberal lead; Ipsos Reid: 7; EKOS: 13; Abacus: 8; Forum: 9). The EKOS looks like an of an outlier, but still, it's the most unanimous the polls have been since 2011, I think.