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Originally Posted by Slava
I also disagree with the point that the Liberal showing was the worst so this time they are going to get slaughtered.
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Where did I say that? Pretty sure I actually said the complete opposite.
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Its obvious that this riding is liberal in general and the thought was to keep the Wildrose out, and flock to the PCs.
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I could take this argument more seriously if not for the fact that this riding has existed since 1971 and has been Tory for virtually its entire existence - Cheffins won a 2007 by-election that could be characterized as equivalent to Paul Hinman's win in Calgary-Glenmore for Wildrose in 2009. Both were turfed in the following general election.
This riding is PC in general, though it has occasionally managed a strong Liberal challenge. As I noted, the Liberals could make a credible showing of it if they can hold the left, but the facts are, if the PCs were to drop 30 points in this vote and the Liberals took 20 of those, they would still only be the third place party.