Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
On Twitter someone said they were so confident of a no vote that they were already paying out. Seems risky, obviously. The polls all seem to show 52-48 for the job side, but I thought that they were showing a lot of momentum on the yes side.
I don't know the ins and outs of this referendum, but I feel like people voting no are less likely to vote. I just say that because it seems like people in favour of separation would be more passionate about that then someone voting for the status quo. I really have nothing to back that up.
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I have only caught up to things this week, but it's going to be interesting. Gut feeling is that the No side wins, barely. 2-3% or so.
But it'll be a combination of couple of things. The quiet "no" voters and EU residents. People who say they support independence publicly due to peer pressure, but at the pools will go will with "no". I also think EU residents will vote no, given that Scotland won't be an EU country for 5-6 years I don't think that contingent (except for a handful of disgruntled Irishmen) will want to risk the uncertainty of living in a non-EU country.