Quote:
Originally Posted by Jets4Life
Non-Playoff Team
(Fewest points to most)New Draft Lottery Odds /Former Lottery Odds)
1 20.0% 25.0%
2 13.5% 18.8%
3 11.5% 14.2%
4 9.5% 10.7%
5 8.5% 8.1%
6 7.5% 6.2%
7 6.5% 4.7%
8 6.0% 3.6%
9 5.0% 2.7%
10 3.5% 2.1%
11 3.0% 1.5%
12 2.5% 1.1%
13 2.0% 0.8%
14 1.0% 0.5%
Looks like the odds of non-playoff teams that finish #17-26 have improved, while the bottom four teams (#26-30) will not have as great of a chance of landing Connor McDavid.
Here is an interesting article from Grantland, titled "The NHL's Race to the Bottom"
http://grantland.com/the-triangle/th...to-the-bottom/
"To be clear, we’d certainly never suggest than an NHL team would intentionally tank for the opportunity to draft a generational franchise player. But while the league is making changes to its draft lottery format for next year, it’s reportedly keeping the existing rule that prevents the last-place team from dropping any further than second, meaning that whichever team finishes 30th this year is guaranteed to get one of McDavid or Eichel.
And that makes this year’s NHL basement a very valuable piece of real estate. By my count, a little more than half the teams in the league could be contenders for last place overall if everything went wrong. Of course, some of those teams are better positioned than others, so let’s start with the worst of the worst."
According to the article, the 6 teams that Grantland believes will have the best shot at McDavid are:
-Buffalo
-Calgary
-Florida
-Carolina
-Nashville
-Winnipeg
It will be hard to sit through, but if the Flames or Jets land McDavid, I will be pretty ecstatic...
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I wasn't really paying attention when they announced these odds. What was the point in redo-ing these odds exactly? Now there is a bigger gap between the 30th and 29th (odds used to drop by a quarter, now they drop by almost a third), thus giving teams more incentive to tank for the best odds. And they more than doubled the odds of the last few teams out of the playoffs. An 86 point up and coming team who just missed the playoffs getting a player like McDavid purely by luck of the draw will just seem ridiculous if it comes to fruition.