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Old 08-15-2014, 02:17 PM   #210
killer_carlson
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan View Post
Personally, I liked this thread better when it was about polls.

As for the poll in the OP, EKOS has a not insignificant liberal house effect, so my guess is there isn't any actual change here, but just a continuation of what we've been seeing for almost a year, which is still very bad news for Harper. I think he benefits somewhat from regional strength in the west, but his majority is built on a very thin foundation in Ontario, and I think he may be in real trouble in what will ultimately be the real battleground in this election, which is rural Ontario.

I do think the PCs are in trouble in Calgary Centre, but they should hold on to the rest of their seats in Alberta without too much difficulty.
Edmonton already has 1 seat NDP (Strathcona, a traditional NDP provincial seat). It would not surprise me to see the NDP take another in Edmonton, and the PC seat held by Laurie Hawn go back to the Libs (who used to have Anne McClellan in the riding).

PCs are not slam dunks in every riding.
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