Personally, I liked this thread better when it was about polls.
As for the poll in the OP, EKOS has a not insignificant liberal house effect, so my guess is there isn't any actual change here, but just a continuation of what we've been seeing for almost a year, which is still very bad news for Harper. I think he benefits somewhat from regional strength in the west, but his majority is built on a very thin foundation in Ontario, and I think he may be in real trouble in what will ultimately be the real battleground in this election, which is rural Ontario.
I do think the PCs are in trouble in Calgary Centre, but they should hold on to the rest of their seats in Alberta without too much difficulty.
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