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Old 08-13-2014, 10:16 AM   #3381
cmyden
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Quote:
Originally Posted by stazzy33 View Post
Yeah, that seems to be the way these things go sometimes. I am sure cmyden can explain better, but sometimes these prices drops last only a day or even a few hours. That's why you have to jump on them right away.
Yep, KLM and Air France put their prices back up this morning. It was a pretty big price drop event, from virtually all major cities in Canada, to a variety of cities in the United Kingdom (England, Scotland) and Germany.

http://www.yycdeals.com/calgary-to-e...ncluding-taxes

I meant to post it here as usual, but I was swamped all day yesterday, and completely forgot.

These unadvertised price drops can come and go without any indication of how long they will last, other than estimating from past experience. It's usually a function of these factors...

wildcard factors
- whether or not the prices were intentionally published by the airline (is it mistake? or are they trying to fill empty seats). If it's a mistake, how long before the airline catches it? If it's intentional, how many seats are they trying to fill ?
demand factors
- how severe the price drop is
- how popular the destination is, particularly during the months involved with the price drop
- how widespread the knowledge of the price drop is
supply factors
- how many seats the airline has available to sell at the dropped price. Are seats available on a wide variety of dates, or just on very few select dates?

A combination of all these factors determines how long an unadvertised price drop will last. In my experience, these days, the really severe price drops on popular routes often last just 12 hours. Within 24 hours, it's pretty likely that the price will have returned to normal.
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