Nothing will match the Wii IMO.
It was a perfect storm for that console. Cheap price point, widely known game series (Mario, etc), plus a system that appealed to casual gamers due to the "fitness" and "social" aspects.
I think it's success and hype will actually sour some casual gamers from buying another gaming console. I wonder how many purchased it, used it for a couple months, and then never touched it again. Personally I know a large group of people that did exactly that.
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