Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw
A problem with your approach,
Hankowski was drafted #64 0verall in 2009
Of the 51 guys drafted #50-100 8 guys have 100+ NHL games, another 3 have 40+ NHL games and then there is a group of 11 also-rans that have 16-37 NHL games. 4 guys have less than 6 NHL games and other 25 have 0 NHL games.
Right now, just based on the fact that Hickey was just drafted in the 50-100 calculated long-shot range likely to turn pro there is a greater than 50% chance that Hickey will not make it to the point that Hankowski has made it.
Using your system out of the 60% allocated to potential Hickey along with Hunter Smith (and no further development since he was drafted) , based on draft position should get say only 15 out of 60...
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Pretty sure, you missed C4L's point. It isn't really about a mathematical determination of which prospect is better. If you think Hanowski is better, great, but he (and I agree with this point of view) would argue that Hickey has a greater skill set to make an impact at the NHL. Doesn't really matter at this point if Hanowski has played 6 games for a terrible Flames squad.