07-24-2014, 09:51 PM
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#2136
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: SW Ontario
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Quote:
Originally Posted by #-3
Not Really, think of it this way IF they are right. They are saying they believe 0.03% of stars host planets that contain life.
Just as a thought experiment. Lets be aggressive say 5% of those have evolved beyond bacteria, into something like Plants and Amobea. Down to 5 million, ~ 1 billion years ago
Then you look at the same 5% might have complex animal life, you are down to. a 1/4 million. ~600 million years ago on earth
Then if you look at the same 5% having life that has developed, manufactured tools or clothing or selective breading or agriculture. Something that shows long term thinking, Your down to 12,500. ~18,000 years ago
Then if you look at 5% of that developing writing, something that allows passage of knowledge, science and math, you are down to 650. ~6000 years ago
Is there a chance we are the most developed of 650 planets that have developed Math and Science, maybe, maybe not.
I could see my line of thinking being completely wrong because of Moores Law normally used with computers, but seems work just as well if you look at evolution.
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