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Old 07-17-2014, 07:12 PM   #80
Phanuthier
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Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Silicon Valley
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jacks View Post
An extra 10% of my career earnings vs. a marginally better chance to win a cup?

Vegas has L.A. at 9-1 to win the cup next year = 10%, let's be generous and give them 7-1 = 12.5%. Col is listed at 18-1 = 5%, let's be pessimistic and give them 24-1 = 4%.

So pretend these are your options (Chi would be similar)
1) L.A. 3 years @ 2M + 12.5% chance/year at a cup ring.
2) Col 3 years @ 5.33M + 4% chance/year at a cup ring.

I'll take the extra 10M thanks, It's not like he is choosing the money over a guaranteed cup ring.
Extending the same logic, Edmonton/Vancouver has a 55:1 odd (lets be pessimistic and say 66:1) = 1.5% chance of winning. If Edmonton paid another 10M (so 20M) would it be worth it?

For reference, Tampa is listed as 23:1 (lets be pessimistic and say 25:1) = 4%, Columbas is 33:1 = 3%... for an extra $5M, would it be worth it?
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