Quote:
Originally Posted by Flames Draft Watcher
It has to be a blend of both. No point drafting a guy like a 2% chance of being a star when you could have a guy who has a 50% chance of being a solid NHLer. You want guys who are good bets and have good upside.
Kabanov was a headcase and thus many scouts didn't believe he'd ever turn out. That's why he dropped. He's a great example of the type of player that generally just isn't worth ever taking a chance on. He was both Russian and a headcase so there's two factors that make him riskier.
Glad we stayed away and pretty damn happy with the Reinhart. If you want you can see me defending the Reinhart pick at the time.
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My main point is just that the outcome doesn't neccessarily prove that the methodolgy was right. I think it is fair to debate the methodolgy but using a sample size of 1 doesn't do it. I think your assessment is definately valid though.
It will be interesting to see how Hosang turns out as a guy with all world talent but a bit of a head case and on many teams DNR list.