Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
If Reinhart had busted out which he likely would have 70% of the time and might still. Would one pick still be better than the other? You are basing which choice was better on information that was not available at the time of the pick.
To me it is still back to the philosophy of a 3rd round pick. I don't really have an issue with the Reinhart pick but I still perfer with 3rd round and lower picks to draft for ceiling rather than probability of making it.
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It has to be a blend of both. No point drafting a guy like a 2% chance of being a star when you could have a guy who has a 50% chance of being a solid NHLer. You want guys who are good bets and have good upside.
Kabanov was a headcase and thus many scouts didn't believe he'd ever turn out. That's why he dropped. He's a great example of the type of player that generally just isn't worth ever taking a chance on. He was both Russian and a headcase so there's two factors that make him riskier.
Glad we stayed away and pretty damn happy with the Reinhart. If you want you can see me defending the Reinhart pick at the time.