Quote:
Originally Posted by DJones
What exactly are we ranking? The ceiling of the prospect? Where they are now?
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For me: expected value. Integral of potential times probability of that potential.
Of course, I'm not actually doing any integration, it's an estimate.
Another thing for me is that I'm only considering potential above replacement level. A guy who makes the NHL but as the type of player who can be acquired as a league-minimum UFA holds no more value than a guy who busts completely.