Quote:
Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce
This process doesn't happen in a vacuum and there can be no control group, so all we have is the product of any team's system, and use that in the analysis.
So you're suggesting the difference between the Oilers record of drafting/developing versus the Wings would be no different statistically than zero?
Can not see how this could be true.
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Random difference does not mean the same thing as equal.
In any random distribution, there are winners and losers by chance (just as some people are taller than others)
In order to be statistically different from zero, there would have to be enough consistent evidence to reasonably eliminate chance. And that would likely take many decades.
Another problem here is that the situation gets muddied by development. It is probably safe to say that Detroit has been better at development than the Oilers. It would be extremely difficult to separate the two, but if you could, it is very likely that the draft distribution of success would look very much like a random distribution.