[SebC]

Thursday June 26th

10:00 AM USA (13, 1-1-0) vs. Germany (2, 1-1-0) (Group G)
10:00 AM Portugal (4, 0-1-1) vs. Ghana (37, 0-1-1) (Group G)
2:00 PM South Korea (57, 0-1-1) vs. Belgium (11, 2-0-0) (Group H)
2:00 PM Algeria (22, 1-0-1) vs. Russia (19, 0-1-1) (Group H)

Numbers in brackets are FIFA ranking followed by W-D-L.

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Today has the final matches in Groups G and H. Last day of the group stage!

Group G scenarios:

Spoiler!

Germany:
- Tops group with a win or draw
- Qualifies with a Ghana/Portugal draw
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Ghana* for qualification/elimination with a loss and Ghana win
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Portugal** for qualification/elimination with a loss and Portugal win

USA:
- Tops group with a win
- Qualifies with a draw
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Ghana*** for qualification/elimination with a loss and Ghana win
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Portugal**** for qualification/elimination with a loss and Portugal win

Ghana:
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Germany* for qualification/elimination with a win and Germany loss
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. USA*** for qualification/elimination with a win and USA loss
- Eliminated with a loss or draw
- Eliminated with a Germany/USA draw


Portugal:
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Germany** for qualification/elimination with a win and Germany loss
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. USA**** for qualification/elimination with a win and USA loss
- Eliminated with a loss or draw
- Eliminated with a Germany/USA draw

*Tiebreaks - Germany vs. Ghana

Germany qualifies, Ghana eliminated if:
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] < 5
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Ghana scores less than three more goals than Germany

Ghana qualifies, Germany elimianted if:
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] > 5
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Ghana scores at least four more goals than Germany

Coin flip - winner qualifies, loser eliminated - if:
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Ghana scores three more goals than Germany

**Tiebreaks - Germany vs. Portugal

Germany qualifies, Portugal eliminated if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] < 8
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 8 AND Portugal scores less than five more goals than Germany

Portugal qualifies, Germany eliminated if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] > 8
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 8 AND Portugal scores at least five more goals than Germany

***Tiebreaks - USA vs. Ghana

USA qualifies, Ghana eliminated if:
- Ghana wins by one, USA loses by one, and Ghana scores less than two more goals than USA

Ghana qualifies, USA eliminated if:
- Ghana wins or USA loses by more than one goal
- Ghana wins by one, USA loses by one, and Ghana scores at least two more goals than USA

****Tiebreaks - USA vs. Portugal

USA qualifies, Portugal eliminated if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] < 5
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Portugal score less than two more goals than USA

Portugal qualifies, USA elimianted if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] > 5
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Portugal scores at least three more goals than USA

Coin flip - winner qualifies, loser eliminated - if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Portugal scores two more goals than USA

Group F scenarios:

Spoiler!

Belgium:
- Qualified
- Tops group with win or tie

Algeria:
- Tops group with win and Belgium loss
- Qualifies with win
- Qualifies with a draw and South Korea draw or loss
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. South Korea* for qualification/elimination with a draw and South Korea win
- Eliminated with a loss

Russia:
- Qualifies with a win and South Korea draw or loss
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. South Korea** for qualification/eliminated with a win and South Korea win
- Eliminated with a draw or loss

South Korea:
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Algeria* for qualification/elimination with a win and Algeria draw
- Goes to tiebreaks vs Russia** for qualification/elimination with a win and Russia win
- Eliminated with a draw or loss
- Eliminated with an Algeria win

*Tiebreaks - Algeria vs. South Korea

Algeria qualifies, South Korea elimianted if:
- South Korea wins by less than 3
- South Korea wins by 3, but South Korea scores less than 3 more goals than Algeria

South Korea qualifies, Algeria elimianted if:
- South Korea wins by more than 3
- South Korea wins by more than 3 and outscores Algeria by 3+.

**Tiebreaks - Russia vs. South Korea

Russia qualifies, South Korea eliminated if:
- (Russia margin of victory) > [ (South Korea margin of victory) - 1 ]
- (Russia margin of victory) = [ (South Korea margin of victory) - 1 ] AND Russia outscores South Korea by 3+

South Korea qualifies, Russia eliminated if:
- (South Korea margin of victory) > [ (Russia margin of victory) + 1 ]
- (South Korea margin of victory) = [ (Russia margin of victory) + 1 ] AND Russia outscores South Korea by < 2 (or does not outscore South Korea)

Coin flip - winner qualifies, loser eliminated - if:
- (South Korea margin of victory) = [ (Russia margin of victory) + 1 ] AND Russia scores two more goals than South Korea