Quote:
Originally Posted by Bagor
Based on the numbers I presented. 80+% suggests the penalty highly favors the taker.
Why not move it back and even the odds a bit and at the same time add a bit more excitement?
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I don't see how for example 1/2 or 1/3 odds would be somehow inherently more exciting than 1/4 or 1/5?
At the moment failed penalty kicks are epic events that still happen fairly regurarly. That's about as good as it gets in my books. It might not be worse if the odds were different, but I don't see how it would be better.
Besides, the whole point of the penalty kick is that it generally goes in. The idea is that it's usually better to let the striker take his shot than to foul him. This results in more goals from open play.
Very probably if the odds of penalty kicks going in were lower, you would just have more penalty kicks and less goals from open play due to more deliberate fouls by defensemen. Or in other words, games would be even more about "referees deciding the game".