I think if Wade and CB3 take less, then LBJ will re-sign with Miami. He definately doesn't want to be seen as a mercenary and go to Houston. McHale is not an elite coach who might not be able to get him, DH and Harden to work.
I think LBJ sees that if the big 3 makes between $40M to $50M, then Riley can retool. LBj has a lot of side businesses that $10M here an there which is more like $5M after tax a year doesn't concern him at all.
LBJ opting out is posturing mostly, he wanted to see what Riley will do before he opts back in again.
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