I would say OEL is at least equal right now especially with the slow development of defensemen. I had Skinner at least equal with ROR as well but I think ROR defensive game is way overrated so could see if people think he is a top defensive/Selke kind of guy why they would have ROR over Skinner.
I would say from the last 10 drafts too early to tell but guys that could be equal/better: Monahan, Nichuskin, Schiefle, Couturier, Lindholm, Trouba, Hamilton.
I think guys who are pretty close from the past 10 years: Granlund, Okposo, Marc Staal, Voracek, Bernier.
If you consider that the last two drafts are a little early to tell with guys development and include the 2003 and 2002 drafts you get:
2003- Suter, Carter, Seabrook who are definitely better Brown, Phaneuf who are close
2002- Nobody really maybe Big tuna tries to put Lupul close
So about 5-10% seems to be the chance of getting a better guy and likely 20% of getting a similar guy depending on your opinion of ROR and others.
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