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Originally Posted by jofillips
so by that reasoning you're suggesting that the power make-up in iraq didnt change enormously after the US invasion?
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It definitely changed. It's more of a power vacuum now. With no history of pluralism or democracy in what is a multi-ethnic and religious state, building a stable balance of power over such a short period would have been very hard (probably impossible).
Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch
At this point, there's not much that can be done militarily by the west, They've moved a partial carrier battle group into the area in case they declare a no fly zone or decide to support the Iraqi troops with air power.
The whole thing is a complete tar baby for the West.
The Iraqi security forces are poorly trained and has low morale, they might fight, but I have my doubts that they'll fight hard. for the most part, they'll fold in the face of a determined enemy. the last thing that the West needs to do is put boots on the ground.
Even Iran is starting to worry about this situation, because the insurgency is going to spill into their borders as well.
The middle east just seems to be crazy town, maybe its the heat, or maybe its that these religious nutters have a fairly lose moral code when it comes to seizing power and killing.
It will never be solved.
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I think this has already been the case. ISIS captured a bunch of Iraqi soldiers over the weekend that had hastily put on civilian clothes over top of their uniforms in order to disguise themselves. Most of them are probably there for a pay cheque, but have no real interest in fighting.
The West will end up helping to install another "friendly dictator" and the cycle will repeat itself.