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I'm quite sure that luck played a part in the success of the landings, but you can't discount the efforts the allies went to in preparation for the landings. In spite of everything that went wrong, the attention to detail in an era without computers was incredible.
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Absolutley agree. The ingenuity and creativness of the allies was impressive.
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The plan all along was to invade France, but would the timing and location have been different if the best of the German army wasn't caught up in Russia?
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You would have to think so. Hitler bit off more than he could chew opening a 2nd front. If he has stuck with Europe, I'm sure the Atlantic wall would have been finished and way more resources would have been available to defend it.
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Had Rommel been present with a few armoured divisions, I doubt they would have added much to the beach fortifications. They would have reinforced the defenders. Maybe the allied aerial and naval bombardment would have softened up the German armour rather than completely miss the beach fortifications.
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The armour divisions were will back of the Wall, way outside of the range of naval guns. They were meant to "plug any holes" that formed in the defensive line. And they had TONS of them. Had they been moved into position, I don't think the invasion would have worked.