Tony is going for one more big lie to get him to the final three....that his special idol can be used to get him to that final three. If he doesn't manage to convince people of that or doesn't win immunity he may have made a big mistake.
Woo, Kass and Trish though made the bg mistake overall. They had to form a final three alliance for any of them to have a chance to win the game. So now tish is gone and the other two don't have a hope of beating Tony or Spencer.
If Spencer wins the final immunity he likely wins the game. He's played a strong and honest game (and somehow honesty matters in this game to people. No idea why).
If Tony takes the last immunity Woo and Kass individually have to look at bringing both Tony and Spencer to the final in the hopes that a good argument at final tribal splits the votes three ways (won't happen but neither of them has any choice against just one of those two).
The only contestant absolutely assured of a final three is Kass...everyone hates her so it would be stupid not to take her. Spencer and Tony are going to try to bring Woo as the third finalist. So it likely it is Woo, Kass and ?.
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