Yay Bizaro is down. 1 Mafia out 7 to go.
starseed is still my #1 suspect right now.
Quote:
Originally Posted by starseed
With bizaro targeting HD, I think we can safely assume he isn't in the first mafia faction, but could still be in the second. However, I get the feeling that each side would look for the cop/doctor or the other mafia rather than target people that they think are a threat. So I think HD drops off my radar. .
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I get your reasoning for the first sentence; I could be in the Barrow Mafia. I’m not, but I concede the point that I could be. After that you lose me. Why would Barrow care if they killed either a townie or a Parker Mafia member? Wouldn’t they be just as happy as us Townies? Barrow Mafia now has more members than Parker kinda putting them in the lead. With this in mind I think you are in Barrow Mafia so want our interactions do die down and cool any heat your way. How can you differentiate between the cop/doctor and a threat? You can’t, so I don’t like your reasoning.
Quote:
Originally Posted by starseed
I think anyone who dropped off the agulati lynch bandwagon should be lower priority right now. I will also agree that CBL's shortlist of people who voted twice to lynch a known townie is something positive to work off of. (it wont have all the mafia, but probably a good number) .
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You tried to justify keeping your vote for agulati before the hammer (post #968). This screams of maintaining the hammer but putting up an early defense to fall back on. This is part of that defense.
Quote:
Originally Posted by starseed
As for my being supportive of the ineedanother vote block idea - I think it makes sense going forward if ineedanother is more active, which I dont think he was much during the last day. I think today our best bet is to get ineedanother to pick from a logical list of candidates. Even though it failed on day one, it's still good strategy going forward. This is my first time playing mafia, so maybe it is known to be a bad strategy, but it just makes sense to me.
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It makes total sense for a Mafia member to be in favour of following a blind vote. He has no further knowledge so the odds are he will pick either a Townie or Parker member. That’s 19 of 23 people he can randomly choose, those odds would be OK with a Barrow member. If he does happen to hit one of you then you have to worry about putting up a fight. 82.6% chance he selects someone not part of your inner 4 is GREAT odds for you. Heck the odds are in favor of Parker as well, there is only a 13% chance he will pick one of them.
Vote: starseed
There has been quite a few good posts in the last couple hours. I will take it all into consideration but until something more concrete appears I will stand by my vote.
* Update since I started typing this out. Damn it takes a long time to type when you have to worry about how everything you say can be taken.
Quote:
Originally Posted by starseed
I have twice suspected kermit, and he was twice pseudo-vindicated by flips. He is very low on my radar at this point.
I am going to look up HG's post about the link between bizarro and tranny/activestick.
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If the vote happens to be either tranny/activestick and they are Mafia, I guarantee they will be part of Parker. Same for kermit, if he does flip up Mafia it will no doubt be Barrow.