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GGG · 05-05-2014, 05:27 PM

Since we have a while before we lynch Agulati I figure I would revisit my earlier thoughts on behaviour around what happened

Dsal - poster once immediately after reveal and not again
Agulati - posted once immediately after reveal and not again
Legoman - didnt discuss vig, Stombad also suspects
Activestick - Didnt discuss vig
CBL - didnt discuss Vig
UCB - didnt discuss Vig
Oling - didnt discuss vig

The following didn't post
Aneas - posted shortly after card flip
Baxter Renagade - generally inactive
Flameswin
Dropit

To me this behaviour of not getting involved doesn't make too much sense. A critical event happened in the game you think you would post about it. If someone wants to you could look at their other activity on CP around that day to see if it matches with generally being inactive or just inactive in the mafia thread.

The most suspicious name on this list for me is Baxter Renegade. He was very inactive early in the game, was inactive post Vig reveal, and became active as HmmHmmCamo was being voted out after being challanged by Flameswin as playing like a newbie mafia member.

Agulati is more interesting because of his slip. And I think we have to lynch him for it as the trust can never come back.

Activestick is interesting, here is where I think our detective can be of use. Because I think either Strombad is mafia or Activestick is. I think a decent mafia strategy would be to go after one guy and focus on him and if the town lynches them and they flip player your defense can just be you were wrong, the odds weren't in your flavour. In the mean time because of the lack of discussion of other people you wouldn't leave a trail.

Also MmmMmmCamo noticed the wierd posting relationship between HG and Strombad where they appear to be distancing themselves from eachother intentionally. Not sure if anything is actually there but if Strombad flipped Mafia, HG would be my next target. So if I were the detective I would investigate Strombad and then proceed from there. Legoman also seems to be following a similar strategy to Strombad in just pushing to get Completely out.

So my top suspects are:
BaxterRenegade
Activestick
Strombad and Legoman (If active flips town)

05-05-2014, 05:27 PM	#843
GGG Franchise Player Join Date: Aug 2008 Location: California Exp:	Since we have a while before we lynch Agulati I figure I would revisit my earlier thoughts on behaviour around what happened Dsal - poster once immediately after reveal and not again Agulati - posted once immediately after reveal and not again Legoman - didnt discuss vig, Stombad also suspects Activestick - Didnt discuss vig CBL - didnt discuss Vig UCB - didnt discuss Vig Oling - didnt discuss vig The following didn't post Aneas - posted shortly after card flip Baxter Renagade - generally inactive Flameswin Dropit To me this behaviour of not getting involved doesn't make too much sense. A critical event happened in the game you think you would post about it. If someone wants to you could look at their other activity on CP around that day to see if it matches with generally being inactive or just inactive in the mafia thread. The most suspicious name on this list for me is Baxter Renegade. He was very inactive early in the game, was inactive post Vig reveal, and became active as HmmHmmCamo was being voted out after being challanged by Flameswin as playing like a newbie mafia member. Agulati is more interesting because of his slip. And I think we have to lynch him for it as the trust can never come back. Activestick is interesting, here is where I think our detective can be of use. Because I think either Strombad is mafia or Activestick is. I think a decent mafia strategy would be to go after one guy and focus on him and if the town lynches them and they flip player your defense can just be you were wrong, the odds weren't in your flavour. In the mean time because of the lack of discussion of other people you wouldn't leave a trail. Also MmmMmmCamo noticed the wierd posting relationship between HG and Strombad where they appear to be distancing themselves from eachother intentionally. Not sure if anything is actually there but if Strombad flipped Mafia, HG would be my next target. So if I were the detective I would investigate Strombad and then proceed from there. Legoman also seems to be following a similar strategy to Strombad in just pushing to get Completely out. So my top suspects are: BaxterRenegade Activestick Strombad and Legoman (If active flips town)