[Rathji]

ok, so here is my line of thinking. I do realize it isn't much to go on, and I didn't really intend for it to become a major theory early on, but bizaro86 realized what I did and the last thing I want to do is been seen as trying to hide something.

When we started playing yesterday, I realized I had no idea how to play or what to do a s a Townie, so I looked at the Mafia wiki at a couple beginners guides. The 2 main things I got from it was Townie people should be active in trying to figure things out and that in order to figure out things, experience is almost always a factor.

Then, I thought to myself, what things hurt the mafia in the last game and how would I play to counteract those things if I was mafia.

The first thing that came to mind was lynching scum in the first day. Not only did it put them behind in terms of the 'score' but it made it harder to force lynches because they had less people. The best way to avoid that, is to obviously kill a townie the first day.

Now, factor in that people with experience will tend to make better choices in the game as Townies, because they have the least complete information, and the logical choice is to figure out a way to target a Townie without needing to consider any other factors, like number of posts or contributions that seemed to be key in the last game for figuring out who to lynch first. If those things were considered, then the person could just start being active which might throw people off the vote.

So, I looked for people who were suggesting reasons to lynch based off anything but inactivity. We had 2 choices:

1. GGG voted for Activestick based seemingly entirely upon his experience, which is something scum would do in order to weed out a Townie who might be more devastating to the Mafia long term.

2. LegoMan used a random number generator, with screenshots to generate a name. Of course, he could have fixed it to just appear random.

Of those 2 choices, GGG is the most likely to be acting in the best interests of the Mafia, because it gets rid of a player who is experienced. Since there are 5 times the people (26 vs 4) outside a particular mafia compared to inside a particular mafia, the best choice the first day is to target an experienced player.

So, my thought was that I would appear to be supportive of this type of vote by casting a vote for Activestick and see who tags along, so I could form a potential voting block if one of them turned out to be scum in a later flip. Not a lot of people jumped on, which indicated to me that most people thought this idea was pretty foolish, but a few hours later ineedanother added his vote, citing the same reason I did, which to me seemed like he was trying to blend in with the rest of the votes that backed up GGG.

So, long story short, my intention was that if one of those 2 ends up being scum at a flip, or does something super scummy later on, then it would have been a signal to go after both of them.

So, with 2 choices, ineedanother and GGG, I think that we should vote out ineedanother. Even if my first gut reaction about GGG was wrong (mostly because it was so overt, he might just be a confused townie), it is more likely that ineedanother is flying under the radar since he hasn't been involved in many other meaningful contributions other than to bump post count.

Vote: ineedanother

Thoughts after the vote:

Of course, the reason I posted this is so I don't end up dead as a nightkill since this info is out there. It would be foolish for scum to kill me anytime very soon as it would indicate I was right.

I just realized, if I do get night killed, then it means that the other mafia faction thinks they can draw attention away from themselves for a night or two while the town lynches a couple opponents (town or mafia).