Quote:
Originally Posted by dino7c
never said that one time let alone many...never mentioned Johansen even one time. I said consider trading the pick if the return is massive. I highly doubt the Flames will be drafting top 3. Considering they never have in franchise history I think its a pretty safe bet. Not to mention the usual suspects are gonna be tanking hard, more than ever.
lol 2 of the 3 guys you mentioned were injured for long stretches this season
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My mistake - you mentioned offer sheet, then someone else suggested Johansen among others, then you continued to support the idea in general.
You still haven't shown any useful or realistic examples, you simply argue that we have little chance of a top 3 pick.
Yes, if you finish last you only have a 25% chance of the top pick. That's a good thing for Flames fans because we're unlikely to finish last. However, the chances of us finishing 2nd through 5th last are very, very real.
And that would mean an 18.8%, 14.2%, 10.7%, or 8.1% chance respectively. In order to have the 2% chance you referred to, we would need to finish 10th last or higher. Could happen, but it's wishful thinking IMO.
As for 2 of those 3 guys being out for lengthy periods, that was nothing. Injuries can be worse. Also, with a couple trades at the deadline, plus a couple key injuries, crap can happen.
I don't wish for the team to be bad either, and I am always optimistic. But it is simple risk management - no way the team should move that pick (unless they get a completely ridiculous overpayment back). The organization simply isn't far enough along in the rebuild to risk it.
Edit: also, this draft is not a one-hit wonder. There are as many as 5 guys that could be in the very elite pick category. It is shaping up to be a wicked draft. Dismissing the odds of picking first as elusive is completely missing the point.