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Originally Posted by The Original FFIV
I hear what you are saying but top 10 is way different that top 5. Yes, there will be variations in scouts' lists but everything we've heard is that there is a clear differentiation in the top 5 and the group below. Look at last year where the top six ranked went in the top six. Wild card in this years draft has to be Ritchie and can see a team passing on a Dal Colle and taking Ritchie owing to his power game.
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Except last year despite the supposed "consensus" ISS had Monahan ranked 9th and Lindholm 7th. Redline had Lindholm 7th. Nichushkin was a "consensus" top 5 pick according to every scouting service I believe and went what, 10th? Barkov was ranked 5th by ISS and 4th by Redline and went 2nd. If you watch the behind the scenes video Philly had Monahan behind several defensemen. So where was the consensus exactly?
Go back to Yakupov's year and you had teams who had Murray #1 (most EDM scouts, CBJ, etc), Yakupov #1 (not sure who did), Galchenyuk #1 (CGY), and Rielly #1 (TOR). So absolutely no consensus at all that year, not even at the very top.
With Dal Colle's playoff performance he may be top 3-4 on some lists. Draisaitl is probably top 3-4 on some teams lists and outside the top 5 on others. We already know some scouts have Ekblad #1, some have Reinhart #1, some have Bennett #1. Wouldn't surprise me if Ritchie is top 5 for some scouts/teams. Somebody could have Ehlers or Nylander top 5.
I do agree there appears to be grouping of 5 at the top that most people seem to agree on. But anything can happen in the draft. And it doesn't mean everyone has the same people in the top 5. We know that almost everybody disagrees on the order of the top 5-10.
This consensus thing is always overblown.