Quote:
Originally Posted by Drury18
It's close because between 7th and 12th, it's only 6 points and some teams playing each other. Charlotte is in the worst position with 73 games played.
Also, I was looking at that and the schedule of the teams:
Rochester faces Toronto, Hamilton and Lake Erie this weekend. They just beat Toronto last night and have the season series tied 4-4. Rochester leads Hamilton in the season series 5-2. Lake Erie leads their season series 4-5. Those games could go anyway, I'm guessing probably a 1-2 scenario for the weekend as Rochester isn't that good and technically out anyway.
Rockford faces Milwaukee, Iowa and Chicago this weekend. Milwaukee is going to just annihilate them, that's a loss. The series with Iowa is 5-4, that is probably a win as Iowa is a terrible team. Their series with Chicago is tied 5-5 and both teams are on a bit of a slide. Plus, Chicago will also play 3/3 with the exact same teams. I think Rockford comes out of this one 2-1 as Chicago has a playoff spot and won't have the same sort of fight in them.
Charlotte has Grand Rapids this weekend only. They beat them yesterday 3-0 and lead the series 2-1. Again a case of GR not really having the same fight as they have a comfy spot and Charlotte turning it up as of late. I think Charlotte might take this too.
tl:dr - We beat the Barons, we eliminate them. The teams around them will take more wins then losses this weekend because they have been playing stronger then OKC as of late. Additionally, with the Oilers loss of Ference and Gagner, there might be callups to fill out the roster. I know Horak was owed one but got injured when they needed him. He's only gotten one game this year, they might give him a couple more to decided what they want to do with him over the summer. If not, he ends up in the record books as the first player to only play a single game with 2 NHL teams in one season. They could also take Arcobello as he was on the list and also got injured when they wanted him. Both would be a huge offensive loss.
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We can't just assume that stuff will happen though. Upsets happen too, hell Charlotte knocked off Grand Rapids today.
Let's say we sweep and the Barons get no points.
I fully expect the Marlies to knock of Rochester, then the Americans will be in tough on Sunday against the Monsters since they are playing 3 in 3 in 3 different cities. -
I predict 2-4 points.
Charlotte only has 1 game this weekend and it's against the Griffins, I doubt they pull of back to back upsets against Grand Rapids. -
I predict 0 points
Rockford plays 3 in 3 as well, including games against Milwaukee and Chicago. -
I predict 2, maybe 3 points.
And for arguments sake let's say the Comets win both games this weekend. -
so 4 points
That scenario would see Rochester pass the Barons. Charlotte would remain tied but with the Barons having played less games. Rockford would tie them or pass them by 1 point. Utica would tie them, but the Barons would own the tie breaker.
That would leave the Barons at worst 1 point out of the playoffs with 3 games remaining, including their final 2 against Iowa who is last in the west.
Even if they lose both their playoff chances are still pretty good.