Quote:
Originally Posted by Komskies
True. Thankfully we have better odds of finishing 5th and drafting 1st overall than finishing 5th and drafting 6th overall.
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Not quite:
30th place: 25.0%
29th place: 18.8%
28th place: 14.2%
27th place: 10.7%
26th place: 8.1%
25th place: 6.2%
24th place: 4.7%
23th place: 3.6%
22th place: 2.7%
21th place: 2.1%
20th place: 1.5%
19th place: 1.1%
18th place: 0.8%
17th place: 0.5%
If the Flames stay in 26th (and we ignore the Devils' spot in the lottery): there's a 68.7% chance someone in 27-30 wins the lottery and Flames pick doesn't move; there's an 8.1% chance the Flames win the lottery and pick first; and there's a 23.2% chance someone in 17-25 wins the lottery and the Flames move down.