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Old 03-26-2014, 01:45 PM   #992
activeStick
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Quote:
Originally Posted by octothorp View Post
Went and reread the thread, focusing on guys who are still remaining and looking not only at how they vote, but who they voice suspicions about. Someone stating suspicions about a guy who turns out to be MGMT before the votes start to pile up is a stronger tell of being a player than how they vote.

I may have missed votes here and there (it's a long thread and I did this late at night), so if you see that I've made an error about you or someone else, please correct me!

Here are the guys I think have shown reasonably strong player tells:

Wood: vote #2 on drake, #10 on regulator, #5 on timbo
dsavillian: #6 for drake, #3 on regulator (and noted suspicions of regulator earlier).
dissentowner: vote #3 on drake, #7 on timbo, #11 on regulator.
Activestick: was the #2 to vote for regulator on day 2 (later unvoted and then re-voted, so is listed lower in Mazrim's count), and also voiced suspicions of timbo very early on day 3, before anyone else had started to throw suspicions around yet. #10 on drake.
Agulati: noted suspicions of timbo early on (in day 2) and was #4 to vote for him. #12 on drake.
blaster86: not much of a voting record, but did reveal his role. Presumption of his innocence is based on mason not being MGMT. Also first player to reveal identity.
undercoverbrother: #6 on regulator, #6 on drake.
octothorp: noted suspicions on timbo on day 1, posted about timbo’s invisible mode on day 2. Revealed role. #9 on drake, #9 on regulator.


Here are guys I'm on suspicious of:

anduril: he voiced suspicions of timbo early in day 2, hasn't been very active early in the game, is starting to be more active now. #12 for regulator, #7 for timbo. Seems most player-like of these four.
stazzy33: #7 for regulator (and then made a blanket statement the next day about how anyone who voted for regulator couldn't possibly be mafia).
halifaxdrunk: I had a theory about him earlier that I've since withdrawn, it's just too tenuous, but HD hasn't given a lot to go on either way. #6 for timbo.
aeneas: He is the only remaining person who did not vote for any of the 3 MGMT to be outed. Not a lot to go on, but made a suspicious post where, as the votes were piling up for timbo, he voted for the now exonerated Sliver/Delgar. Didn't offer much of an argument for why.

Good post.

I think what you've laid out is pretty solid to go by, but we may want to throw the Drake history out since he was the first to go so if the Mafia were okay with the strategy to protect the group, it could be misleading.

As their numbers diminish though, we should start to see patterns.
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