I don't care for aggregating the last 5 years to amend the odds. I do like the idea of amending the odds, depending on how far out of the playoffs a team is, based on points rather than just the standings.
If you accept the idea that the worst team should have the best odds, I have no problem with Buffalo having better odds at number one based on the fact that they are way behind every other team. For the Flames/Oilers/Panthers/Isles, I think they are all relatively close and should all have relatively the same chance at number one. I hate the idea of one flukey win (Anaheim last year) affecting the draft results materially. Not sure of the math, but it seems more fair that a team that has 65 points should only have a small increased percentage over a team with 66 points, rather than a more significant chance if the seeding was 27 versus 26, for example.
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