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Old 03-17-2014, 01:46 PM   #35
trackercowe
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If not for three lockouts and three years in the KHL Jagr would have had a shot at most goals ever.

703 goals right now (191 behind Gretzky). There were 396 man games lost in Jagr's career (68 in the two shortened seasons, 328 in the four complete seasons). For his career Jagr has averaged a goal every two games (.4818 per game to be precise). So that's about 190 goals Jagr missed due to non-injury related forced. He also may have another 2-3 years left in him if he keeps at the same pace he's going at right now.

I am not saying it would have been a certainty, but clearly he would have been second all time, and near Wayne's final tally.

I also think Ovechkin has an outside shot at the record if he stays in the league until he's 42-43 years old. 416 goals today (478 from tying the record), right now he's scoring at a .6246 GPG pace. If he plays for say another 13 years he would need to average almost 37 goals a season (.45 a game). Obviously it's unlikely, but if he can get back to scoring 60+ for a few years the final number could very well be reachable. The same could probably be said for Stamkos, but it's a lot earlier in his career to conclude he's going to continue at the same pace, whereas in Ovechkin's case he's pretty much a lock to score 50+ every season.

Last edited by trackercowe; 03-17-2014 at 01:53 PM.
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