Quote:
Originally Posted by nik-
I think the Bundeswehr, the French and the Americans could beat the Russians badly enough to push them back across their line, and as long as they don't push into Russia, that's where the stalemate would lie.
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I would argue that those conditions no longer exist. Russia is entrenched, have mined key travel points and moved up major elements of their Aviation and Heavy Aviation groups for fast turn around.
On top of that you can bet that their Special Forces Groups are already in position to cut communications and logistics tracks.
If you go by the logical doctrine of attacking, you need a 4 to one advantage in tanks, aircraft, advanced arty and infantry. With Russia having two army groups on the border, up to from what I understand 400 fighter/bombers/fighterbombers, and massed artillary and a pretty clear logistics line. You would probably need to put a half million men in the field from the Western side and over 1000 aircraft.
The correlation of forces don't work for the West. Even with all of NATO involved.
Beyond that I don't see the American's as even evaluating a military option, one of the leverage points is to start airlifting assets in as a threat at the start of the Crisis, The American's haven't done that yet.